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Lightning seems to strike randomly, hitting the tallest object in a given area. However, in some cases a shorter object will get struck even if a taller one is nearby.
Why do short objects near taller objects get struck by lightning, and can this be reliably predicted?
According to https://www.weather.gov/safety/lightning-fatalities, most fatalities happen in fields, however some happen near a house, or cutting down branches of a tree. People also tend to get struck less often in cities than they do in other places such as forests and fields. Lightning seems to form arcs when it strikes tall buildings as if it is going out of its way to hit it.
Hypothesis: Taller objects have a proportionally larger range of attraction. This is why strikes on humans occur more in forests than in cities; perhaps you have to be closer to a tree for protection than to be close to a skyscraper. This may be why the first man in the weather.gov list was struck getting out of his car. This may be why lightning makes more dramatic arcs when hitting a skyscraper but when hitting a field or tree it appears more direct.
To test this hypothesis, we will plant a 15ft metal rod in the ground vertically and then plant one 5ft. rod a certain distance from the taller rod. This will be done in a large field, or in a lab-created lightning storm. Nothing taller than the 5ft. rod will be within a huge range. We wait for lightning to strike, and every time it hits the 15ft. rod instead of the 5ft. rod, we increase the distance between them until the shorter one is struck and mark this distance. We keep increasing the distance several more times. Then we will repeat this whole experiment several times, but we change the length of the longer rod. The next experiment may be a 20ft, 30ft, or 50ft. rod and we keep going.
The idea is that we will keep note of the distance when the shorter rod began to get struck in each experiment if the hypothesis holds true. If we find that it is true that there is some proportional change in the attraction area of a tall object, then we can use the data from all the experiments to see if there is some kind of relationship. We may find that the distance is an absolute number, or related to the difference in height, or to the height of only one object.We then use the conclusion that it is, in fact, a matter of distance and as responsible scientist we will also note how to predict the distance to fully answer the question of why one object is struck near a taller one. This can be used to design safer residential areas.
